Obama’s Stock Rising

According to intrade, after Wisconsin’s primary,  share prices for Barack Obama rose 7.6 to 78.2, while Hillary Clinton’s share price declined 8.5 to 20.  The price differential is much larger than the current delegate count differential.  I guess my subjective probability pretty well matches the price differential.  We’ll see after Ohio and Texas.

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2 Responses to Obama’s Stock Rising

  1. jeremy says:

    I wish they offered separate contracts so that one could see what % of Hillary’s 20% is people thinking she’ll win the pledged delegate count under current rules and what % think she’ll win either via superdelegates or a favorable ruling re: Florida or Michigan.

  2. The intrade website is down!

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